Tag Archives: mechanical program

Commitment of Traders Resistance Caps S&P 500 Rally

The commercial traders have been on fire when comes to predicting the stock market in 2014. I suppose this makes sense since they’re the ones with access to the best information and modeling available. This explains the huge moves we’ve seen in their net positions based on the Commitment of Traders reports. Somehow their neural and social networks have put them in the right position for nearly every trade this year as you can see on the chart below.

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Soybean Rally Out of Gas

The Commitment of Traders report has shown a significant shift in commercial trader sentiment in the grain markets. The oat market seems to have had the most dramatic reversal with wheat following closely behind. We chose to focus on the soybean market this morning due its significantly greater liquidity. Commercial traders have sold about 45,000 contracts over the last few weeks of this gradual rally.

We based this morning’s piece for TraderPlanet off of our Mechanical COTSignals program.

 

soybean commitment of traders chart
Commercial traders’ soybean selling 45,000 contracts over the last four weeks shifts commercial trader momentum to negative.

See the rest of our analysis at TraderPlanet.

COT Data Shows Soybean Rally Out of Gas

Mechanical Cattle & Corn system equity curves.