This was a busy week. We began on Monday with an exclusive follow up on last week’s “Equity Rally Waves a Caution Flag”, for TraderPlanet in, “Commercial Traders Turn Negative Towards Equity Rally” which focused specifically on the Dow.
Tuesday, our attention turned to the unleaded gas market in “COT Sell Signal in Unleaded Futures” for Equities.com. This piece argued that bearish fundamentals would outweigh seasonal strength.
Meanwhile, our main piece for the week focused on, “Copper Traders Bailing Out of Record Position.” Specifically, what was going on with the record commercial net long position in the face of a market that appears to be rolling over.
Finally, the equity curve for our commercial live cattle trading program has been updated to show its recent success.
Most of the trading we do is based on some form of mean reversion. The idea is that a market that has moved too far away from its predicted value area is apt to return. This is the equivalent of buying low and selling high in a sideways market. The primary difference in our methodology is that we use the commercial traders within their respective markets to provide us with the two necessary keys required to make this work.
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